(La Chine compte invertir 40 milliards de dollars sur de nouvelles infrastructures pour relancer l'économie. Ce n'est pas ce que devait biden aux States ? Ah, oui, c'est vrai, il les a filé aux ukrainiens et au lobby militaro-industriel. note de rené)

China’s Li Keqiang calls for new infrastructure push to shake off economic slowdown

• China’s State Council says it will channel funds towards construction of highways, waterways and port projects
• The targeted financing reflects Li’s long-standing caution towards flooding the economy with excess liquidity

Frank Tang in Beijing   South China Morning Post

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Published: 9:30pm, 1 Jul, 2022

China has announced a new round of infrastructure projects to be funded by bonds and interest subsidies for participating banks, underlining the government’s desperation to get the economy back on track and stabilise employment.

The world’s No 2 economy faces multiple headwinds, including a weak property market, soft household consumption and Covid uncertainties, which have set off alarm bells in Beijing and prompted warnings the country might fail to reach its annual growth target of “around 5.5. per cent”.

The government plans to raise 300 billion yuan (US$44.7 billion) by selling policy bonds and other financial instruments, Premier Li Keqiang said at Wednesday’s State Council meeting.

They will be issued by state-owned and policy banks, while the central government will provide two-year interest subsidies to encourage lending for the projects.

China aims for modest 5.5% GDP growth in 2022, citing economic pressures

The proceeds must account for less than half of each project’s total investment, or serve as a bridge for infrastructure funded by local government special purpose bonds.

The targeted financing reflects Li’s long-standing caution about excess liquidity flooding the economy, although authorities are counting on bank credit to expand “effective investment” and boost the job market and household consumption.

The State Council, China’s cabinet, has its work cut out to reverse the country’s increasingly gloomy economic outlook, with lockdowns in Shanghai and other Chinese cities likely to have caused a contraction in growth in the second quarter, following expansion of 4.8 per cent in the first quarter, analysts said.

Both the official and Caixin manufacturing purchasing managers’ index (PMI) showed a rebound in production last month after coronavirus restrictions were eased, but new orders and employment indicators remained subdued.

The cabinet said on Wednesday it will build highways, waterways and port projects in the second half of this year and will try to guide financial institutions to provide long-term, low-cost lending rates.

“China’s transport network density remains relatively low in per capita terms. We must increase our investment in the weak links to drive up employment, consumption and economic sustainability,” the State Council said.

Infrastructure spending, which accounts for one third of national fixed-asset investment, rose by 8.2 per cent from a year earlier in the January-May period. Investment in the real estate sector dropped 4 per cent in the same period, defying government policy relaxations.

“It’s going to be hard to rely on the property sector to drive up the economy this year. Instead, we should try to lower its drag,” Yang Weimin, deputy director of the Chinese People’s Political Consultative Conference’s economic affairs committee, said at a forum on Thursday.

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The premier ordered local governments to hire more migrant workers for projects, rather than providing cash subsidies to people, saying it would increase fiscal revenue and boost consumption in small cities.

Steadying consumer prices and the job market are two key tasks for authorities this year, with stability vital ahead of a major leadership reshuffle in the second half of 2022.

China’s surveyed urban jobless rate eased slightly to 5.9 per cent in May, but was still higher than the annual control target of 5.5 per cent. The unemployment rate for those aged 16-24 hit a record high of 18.4 per cent in May.

State-owned enterprises have vowed to provide more jobs, while the Ministry of Science and Technology and the Ministry of Education said in a joint circular on Thursday that universities, state-owned research institutions and hi-tech parks should create research assistant positions to absorb as many graduates as possible.

A record 10.79 million college students will graduate this year.